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National Hurricane Center

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 210533
    TWOAT

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area
    of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Windward
    Islands have changed little in organization during the past
    several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be
    conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
    tropical depression could form while the system moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
    over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The mountainous terrain of
    Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could limit development during the first
    part of the weekend, but conditions are expected to be conducive for
    development early next week when the system is forecast to move near
    or over the Bahamas.

    Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
    rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
    Rico, and the Virgin Islands tonight and Friday, and over Hispaniola
    late Friday and Saturday. Interests in those islands should closely
    monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this
    afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

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